25 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VZ
🇨🇿Vaclav Zidek
ELO 1595
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zidek
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Schwan
ELO 1525
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Schwan covers set handicap as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Zidek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.