26 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇨🇿Richard Skacelik
ELO 1563
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skacelik
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1558
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Machander🌟Skacelik goes over total as favourite 67% (52)
Fair odds · Skacelik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H24-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.