26 Jul · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1476
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1650
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+174
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)