26 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JT
🇨🇿Josef Toth
ELO 1392
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamczyk
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1437
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Toth🌟Adamczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (19)
Fair odds · Adamczyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.