26 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jiri Hyrsl
ELO 1343
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1376
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H11-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.