26 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FT
🇨🇿Frantisek Trojan
ELO 1456
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Trojan
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1416
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Trojan rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (13)
Fair odds · Trojan
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H11-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.