26 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1351
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Syroha
JH
🇨🇿Jiri Hyrsl
ELO 1343
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Syroha rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (59)
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.