26 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ER
🇨🇿Evzen Rychlik
ELO 1528
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Snr
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
ELO 1544
FormLLWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rychlik🌟Snr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (50)
Fair odds · Snr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.