27 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Petr Serak
ELO 1291
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Potmesil
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1377
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Potmesil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+86
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)