27 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1377
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tkachenko
AT
🇨🇿Andrii Tkachenko
ELO 1447
FormLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Potmesil goes over total as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Tkachenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.