27 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1640
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolisnyk
JS
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1591
FormLLWLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Simecek🌟Kolisnyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (84)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.