27 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jiri Jira
ELO 1250
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Potmesil
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Potmesil
ELO 1377
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Jira covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Potmesil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+127
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)