27 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1640
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolisnyk
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1620
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ruzicka🌟Kolisnyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (84)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H43-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.