27 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1620
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ruzicka
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1603
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H94-154
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.