27 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇨🇿Petr Osvald
ELO 1507
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gebek
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1551
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.