27 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1337
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Barta
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1432
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Syroha🌟Barta stays under total as favourite 63% (63)
Fair odds · Barta
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+95
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)