27 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1731
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sedlacek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1675
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szotkowski🌟Szotkowski covers set handicap as underdog 79% (73)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H48-38
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.