27 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1683
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bradach
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bradach
ELO 1744
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Bradach
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.