27 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1447
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hudeczek
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1508
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Hudeczek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (48)
Fair odds · Hudeczek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H27-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.