27 Jul · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1484
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Levicky
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1581
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+97
H2H20-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-16)