27 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1648
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Szotkowski
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1675
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 70% (307)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H98-81
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.