27 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1653
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cabis
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1648
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 70% (307)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H57-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.