27 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zeman
ELO 1680
FormLWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Prikasky
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1683
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Zeman covers set handicap as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.