27 Jul · 18:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZP
🇨🇿Zbynek Pagac
ELO 1447
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chalupa
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1588
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Chalupa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (92)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H54-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)