27 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1508
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chalupa
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1588
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hudeczek🌟Chalupa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (92)
Fair odds · Chalupa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+80
H2H19-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.