27 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RH
🇨🇿Roman Hudeczek
ELO 1508
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kasnik
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1535
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hudeczek🌟Hudeczek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (54)
Fair odds · Kasnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.