27 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1535
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Urbaniec
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1559
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H19-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.