27 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1363
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chalupnicek
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1369
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chalupnicek🌟Chalupnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (42)
Fair odds · Chalupnicek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H12-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.