27 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1648
FormLLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zika
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1625
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Revay🌟Revay covers set handicap as underdog 72% (115)
Fair odds · Zika
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H53-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.