27 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1603
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Huk
JS
🇨🇿Jan Simecek
ELO 1591
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Simecek🌟Huk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (222)
Fair odds · Huk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.