27 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1507
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Varecha
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1465
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Varecha stays under total as favourite 64% (33)
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 36% · 2.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.