27 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1651
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wawrosz
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1648
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Wawrosz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (147)
Fair odds · Wawrosz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H16-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.