27 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bradach
ELO 1744
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bradach
LZ
🇨🇿Lukas Zeman
ELO 1680
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Zeman covers set handicap as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Bradach
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H7-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.