27 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1581
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Levicky
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Velicka
ELO 1497
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Velicka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (30)
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+84
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.