28 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kowolowski
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1579
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Kowolowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (96)
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.