28 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1443
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rybar
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1519
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Virag rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (19)
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+76
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.