28 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1519
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rybar
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1470
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Zientek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (113)
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.