28 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1559
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tuma
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1569
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Zmuda covers set handicap as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.