28 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1470
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1443
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Zientek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (54)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H7-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.