28 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1451
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kolek
AV
🇨🇿Alexandr Virag
ELO 1443
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Virag rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (19)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.