28 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1537
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Parhomenko
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1545
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Parhomenko
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H88-68
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.