28 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1545
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parhomenko
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vesely
ELO 1530
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.