29 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LB
🇨🇿Lukas Babicka
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Babicka
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1434
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Babicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H0-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.