29 Jul · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mikuska
YH
🇨🇿Yurii Holovatiuk
ELO 1434
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Mikuska
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+88
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)