29 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1355
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1367
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H24-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.