29 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1469
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vitrovyj
OV
🇨🇿Oleg Vitrovyj
ELO 1544
FormLWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vitrovyj
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H13-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.