29 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1355
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Potensky
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kucera
ELO 1315
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Potensky stays under total as favourite 71% (56)
Fair odds · Potensky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H9-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.