29 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1440
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Steffan
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1469
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Steffan
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H42-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.