29 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kucera
ELO 1315
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1397
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+82
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.