29 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LB
🇨🇿Lukas Babicka
ELO 1479
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mikuska
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1522
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Mikuska
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.